FXUS64 KLCH 210819 AFDLCH AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 319 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014 .DISCUSSION... MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S AREAWIDE. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS SETTING UP AGAIN FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT MAINLY ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR FROM BEAUMONT EAST TO SHORT OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. GOES-E/MODIS MVFR PRODUCT SHOWING INCREASING PROBABILITY OF LOW VISIBILITY FOR DEVELOPING IN THE BPT AREA WHICH LATEST OBSERVATION CONFIRM THAT TREND...AND ANOTHER AREA FROM LAKE CHARLES TO NEAR LAFAYETTE. THEREFORE...ASKING FOLKS TO DRIVE CAREFULLY THIS MORNING IF YOUR DRIVING IN THESE AREAS. NOW...LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP FOR THE REGION DESPITE SOME MORNING FOG. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. STABLE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HAS MOVED OFF TO THE EAST ALLOWING FOR SOUTHWESTERLY UNSTABLE FLOW TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AREAS AND INTO TUESDAY AREAWIDE AS A WEAK PACIFIC FRONT SAGS DOWN INTO OUR AREA. THE WEAK FRONT MAY GET DOWN TO THE I-10 CORRIDOR BEFORE STALLING AND WASHING OUT BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. WHILE DYNAMICS ARE BEST WELL NORTH OF OUR AREA...WILL LEAVE IN LOW POPS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. TUESDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY UNAFFECTED DUE TO THE LOW PROBABILITY OF RAIN...AND LACK OF SUFFICIENT COOLING BEHIND THE FRONT. SO...MORE OR LESS...WE ARE JUST TALKING A BRIEF WINDSHIFT TO A NORTHERLY DIRECTION WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW OR NON EXISTENT DUE TO WEAK DYNAMICS AND NO SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL TRIGGER. THE WEEKEND LOOKS A BIT MORE PROMISING AS A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES MOVING IN THE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BEGIN TO RIDE ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM WILL STAY OUT WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND...GUIDANCE DOES AT LEAST SHOW POPS INCREASING. TO SUM UP THINGS...LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN WARM WITH LOW POPS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. GOING INTO NEXT WEEKEND...WE MAY SEE BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN AS A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES. && .MARINE... SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN RATHER LETHARGIC AS HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS STUBBORNLY OVER THE GULF WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. AN INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW AND SOME INCREASE IN SEAS WILL TAKE PLACE BY THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INCREASES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... KLCH 81 62 81 63 / 10 20 20 10 KBPT 80 63 81 63 / 10 20 20 10 KAEX 83 60 81 60 / 10 30 30 10 KLFT 81 61 81 63 / 10 20 20 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...NONE. TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ PUBLIC/MARINE...06