FXUS64 KOHX 100754 AFDOHX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 254 AM CDT TUE JUN 10 2014 .DISCUSSION... ...FLASH FLOOD POTENTAL REMAINS FOR PARTS OF WEST AND SOUTHWEST MIDDLE TENNESSEE... ...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY IN THE MID STATE... STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM LOUISIANA INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS MORNING AND DURING THE DAY AS PRECIPITABLE WATER REMAINS NEAR 2 INCHES IN A VERY DEEP WARM CLOUD DEPTH. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE JUICED TO THE HILT...SO WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA AS PRECIP EFFICIENCY WILL BE MAXED OUT. AS THE VERTICALLY STACKED UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST AND RELATIVELY COOL 500 MBAR TEMPS ALONG WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S THE STAGE WILL BE SET FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS DESPITE LIMITED HEATING TODAY DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. I EXPECT TO SEE SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS RETURN TO SOUTHWESTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BEFORE 12Z THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO WORK UP THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE AS STORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS IN WESTERN AREAS DURING THE MORNING AND TRANSLATE EASTWARD. LOOKS TO ME LIKE LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS HERE IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BUT SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT ALONG WITH THE HEAVY RAIN. HIGH TEMPS TODAY WILL BE RETARDED BY CLOUDS AND RAIN. ON WEDNESDAY UPPER LOW OPENS UP AND CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ND INTO GREAT LAKES REGION WITH UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING BACK DOWN THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS SO LOOK FOR MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS. LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS RIGHT ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS WESTERLIES DOMINATE THE PATTERN WITH A CONTINUOUS SUPPLY OF SHORT WAVES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... NASHVILLE 79 66 81 64 / 90 60 60 20 CLARKSVILLE 79 64 79 62 / 90 60 50 20 CROSSVILLE 78 65 75 61 / 60 70 60 40 COLUMBIA 80 66 81 64 / 90 60 60 20 LAWRENCEBURG 80 66 81 63 / 90 60 60 40 WAVERLY 79 64 79 61 / 90 60 50 20 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR TNZ023>025-056>058- 060-061-093>095. && $$ BOYD 01  FXUS64 KOHX 221820 AFDOHX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 1220 PM CST SUN FEB 22 2015 .HYDROLOGY... THE FLOOD WATCH AND FLOOD ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRED. WHILE A SMALL AMOUNT OF MELTING MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON, THE LARGEST THREAT FOR PONDING IN LOW AREAS AND MINOR STREET FLOODING HAS PASSED. NOT MUCH MELTING WILL OCCUR IN THE NEAR FUTURE GIVEN MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND FORECASTED COLD TEMPERATURES. A FEW CREEKS AND RIVERS HAVE MOVED ABOVE ACTION STAGE AND FLS PRODUCTS ARE STILL ACTIVE FOR THOSE LOCATIONS. THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HARPETH RIVER WILL BE CANCELED SOON AS THE RIVER HAS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE. THE OTHER FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES LOOK TO BE ON TRACK. REAGAN && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... NASHVILLE 20 27 20 36 / 20 10 10 10 CLARKSVILLE 15 23 17 34 / 20 05 10 10 CROSSVILLE 21 28 18 37 / 30 10 10 10 COLUMBIA 22 29 21 38 / 30 10 10 10 LAWRENCEBURG 23 30 21 41 / 50 20 10 10 WAVERLY 17 25 19 35 / 20 05 10 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ 10