FXUS64 KCRP 200925 AFDCRP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 425 AM CDT FRI SEP 20 2013 .SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND STREAMLINE DATA DEPICT AN UPPER DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THIS SYSTEM IS PROGD TO PROVIDE SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT TO THE CWA/MSA LATER TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY (GFS/NAM DETERMINISTIC). IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER UPPER DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CNTRL CONUS...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CWA FROM THE NORTH TODAY...MOVE ACROSS THE CWA TONIGHT...THEN OFFSHORE SATURDAY. PWAT VALUES ARE EXTREMELY HIGH (GOES SOUNDER PWAT AND NASA SPORT CIRA PWAT) OVER THE REGION. EXPECT THE COMBINATION OF UPPER AND SFC FORCING TO CONTRIBUTE TO SCT/NUMEROUS CONVECTION TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. THE COMBINATION OF COPIOUS MSTR...UPPER/SFC FORCING...WARM CLOUD DEPTH (NAM DETERMINISTIC)...ANTICIPATE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL FRIDAY AFTN/NGT. WL MAINTAIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREAWIDE. THE NAM/GFS PROG A SFC WAVE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES OFFSHORE (CONSISTENT WITH THE SLOW MOVING UPPER TROUGH.) THIS MAY RESULT IN COPIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR THE COAST EARLY SATURDAY. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE FROM NW TO SE OVER THE CWA SATURDAY AFTN. EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 80S TODAY/SATURDAY. && .MARINE/COASTAL...SCA CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED TODAY FOR THE OFFSHORE COASTAL WATERS OWING TO 7FT SEAS (EXPECT 15-20KT WIND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.) THE COMBINATION OF LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FOR TODAY. ANTICIPATE 1.5 TO 2FT MSL WATER LEVELS TODAY...SUGGESTIVE OF AT LEAST MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW ALONG THE GULF FACING BEACHES...ESPECIALLY DRG THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THUS WL MAINTAIN THE CFW FOR BOTH HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR TIDAL OVERFLOW. && .LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF FROM W TO E SAT NIGHT/SUN AS THE UPPER TROF AXIS AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BDRY MV E INTO THE GULF. THE ECMWF AND GFS BOTH SHOW THIS ALONG WITH DRYING IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS. THE NAM ON THE OTHER HAND...CUTS THE UPPER LOW OFF ACROSS CENTRAL AND E TX WITH THE SFC BDRY STALLING ALONG/NEAR THE COAST. THUS THE NAM KEEPS THE N AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA IN A WET PATTERN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. KEPT WITH THE GFS/ECMWF SOLNS AND AM SHOWING A DRYING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY. DID KEEP A SLIGHT CHC OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MON THEN BROADBRUSH SILENT 10 POPS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN MODEL SOLNS. BEHIND THE FRONTAL BDRY...A NLY FLOW IS PROGD TO DVLP OVER THE GULF WATERS. THE GFS SHOWED THE STRONGEST WINDS WHILE OTHER MODELS WERE WEAKER. WENT WITH A COMPROMISE ON WIND SPEEDS FOR SAT NIGHT/SUN WHICH PUTS THEM AROUND 20KTS. DID NOT WANT TO GO WITH THE HIGHER GFS SPEEDS JUST YET DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A SLOWER MOVG BDRY. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE BDRY LEADING TO COOLER NIGHTS. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR NORMAL SUN/MON WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH MID WEEK. PATCHY FOG MAY BECOME AN ISSUE DURING THE WEEK DUE TO DRIER MID/UPPER LEVELS...LIGHT WIND...WET GROUND...BUT HAVE NOT INTRODUCED INTO THE FCST JUST YET DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE THIS FAR OUT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 88 76 85 73 88 / 70 70 70 40 10 VICTORIA 87 75 83 71 87 / 70 70 70 30 10 LAREDO 92 72 87 72 90 / 70 70 70 20 10 ALICE 88 74 84 71 89 / 70 70 70 30 10 ROCKPORT 86 79 83 75 87 / 70 70 70 40 10 COTULLA 89 72 87 69 90 / 70 70 70 20 10 KINGSVILLE 88 76 85 73 89 / 70 70 70 40 10 NAVY CORPUS 86 79 83 75 86 / 70 70 70 40 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...DUVAL... GOLIAD...JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...LA SALLE...LIVE OAK... MCMULLEN...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA... WEBB. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO. RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM. && $$ WC/87...SHORT TERM TE/81...LONG TERM  FXUS64 KCRP 212052 AFDCRP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 252 PM CST FRI FEB 21 2014 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...FOG WILL RETURN OVER THE NEXT THREE PERIODS...WITH AREAL COVERAGE AND FOG THICKNESS INCREASING TOWARD EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...ANOTHER TEMPERATURE FORECAST WITH COOL TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WARMING BACK SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES. AM GOING TO GO ON THE LOWER SIDE OF GUIDANCE TONIGHT (GIVEN DEW POINTS)...AND A BLEND OF BIAS CONSENSUS FORECASTS FOR HIGHS ON SATURDAY...AS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY RETURN TO THE REGION AND WARMER AIR RETURNS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECTING TEMPERATURES NOT TO FALL BELOW 60F SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH GOOD MOISTURE RETURN... LOTS OF CLOUDS AND ADVECTION FOG. SOME OF THE FOG CLOSER TO THE COAST COULD ALSO HAVE SOME DRIZZLE WITH WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING (SO INCLUDED IT). && .MARINE (TONIGHT MAINLY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...SEAS STILL ABOUT 8 FEET AT BOY020...SO WILL CONTINUE WITH SCA (FOR HIGH WAVE HEIGHTS) OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS TIL 6 PM. AFTERNOON SHIFT CAN SEE IF THIS IS LONG ENOUGH OR IF IT STILL NEEDS TO BE EXTENDED (MODEL DATA SAYS NO BUT MODEL DATA ALSO HAS SEAS ABOUT A FOOT TOO LOW TOO). EXPECT IT TO BE ENOUGH. ONLY OTHER MARINE CONCERN IS FOG SATURDAY NIGHT...AS RETURN FLOW AND HIGH DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE COOLER SHELF WATERS. SEA FOG...POSSIBLY DENSE...WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY (EVENING THROUGH MID MORNING PERIODS). NEXT FRONT WILL HAVE TO CLEAR THINGS OUT AGAIN. && .LONG-TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...A GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK. A WEAK TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS S TX LEADING TO A WARMING TREND WITH UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPS. LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE SUN/MON/TUE. AS FOR PRECIP...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE ON MON FOR ISOLD -SHRAS AS AN EMBEDDED SHORT MOVES ACROSS S TX. TUES IS PROGD TO BE IN BETWEEN SHORT WAVES...THEREFORE HAVE SILENT 5-10 POPS. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA. BASED ON FCST SOUNDINGS...DEEP MOISTURE ADVECTS ACROSS S TX ESPECIALLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. MID LEVEL INSTABILITY INCREASES AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE PUSHES ACROSS S TX. THE RRQ OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET ALSO IS PROGD TO MOVE INTO A FAVORABLE LOCATION WITH DIFFLUENCE INCREASING ALOFT. WITH THE FRONTAL BDRY S OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY WED...LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL BE LACKING...BUT GIVEN THE OTHER AFOREMENTIONED FEATURES...AM EXPECTING ELEVATED SHRA/TSRAS ON WED. AM NOT ANTICIPATING SVR DUE TO THE LACK OF LOW LEVEL FORCING. HAVE INCREASED POPS TO 40 PERCENT AREA-WIDE ON WED AND INTRODUCED TSRA'S. MODELS PROG THE RAIN TO END FROM N TO S WED NIGHT WITH DRIER CONDITIONS THU. RETURN FLOW QUICKLY SETS UP THU AFTERNOON WITH WARMER TEMPS AND INCREASING MOISTURE BY FRI. MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT WITH TEMPS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND LATEST GUIDANCE IS MUCH COLDER. HAVE LOWERED TEMPS WED/WED NIGHT/THU BUT NOT AS MUCH AS GUIDANCE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY BEHIND THE FRONT ON WED WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE POSSIBLE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 52 75 64 82 63 / 0 10 10 10 10 VICTORIA 44 74 62 80 61 / 0 10 10 10 10 LAREDO 53 81 63 88 66 / 0 0 0 10 10 ALICE 48 78 63 85 63 / 0 10 10 10 10 ROCKPORT 55 72 63 74 62 / 0 10 10 10 10 COTULLA 45 78 61 85 61 / 0 0 0 10 10 KINGSVILLE 50 78 64 85 63 / 0 10 10 10 10 NAVY CORPUS 57 72 63 75 63 / 0 10 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM. && $$ GW/86...SHORT TERM TE/81...LONG TERM  FXUS64 KCRP 112346 AAA AFDCRP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 546 PM CST WED FEB 11 2015 .DISCUSSION...SEE 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .AVIATION...MAIN ISSUE IS THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE FOG... THEN THE FRONT. AM EXPECTING FOG TO DEVELOP AGAIN (1/2SM FG) AT KVCT AND KALI AOA 06Z...WITH MVFR BR AT KCRP BEFORE FROPA. WILL HAVE MVFR CIGS AT KLRD AOA 07Z. ALL OF THIS IS PRIOR TO FRONT. FRONT EXPECTED TO COME DOWN ABOUT 13Z AT KVCT AND 14Z/15Z AT OTHER TERMINALS (OVERALL NOT MUCH CHANGE IN PREVIOUS FORECAST). WITH DRIER NNE WINDS WITH SOME GUSTS ESPECIALLY AT KCRP...VSBYS WILL IMPROVE AFTER FROPA BUT CIGS WILL BE MVFR PROBABLY THROUGH 18Z. CIGS SHOULD BECOME VFR ALL TERMINALS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...MAYBE LINGERING AT KALI (BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS AND TIME-HEIGHT PLOTS). NE WINDS SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH. ONLY MENTION FOR PRECIP WILL BE AT KLRD AROUND FROPA (VCSH). && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 PM CST WED FEB 11 2015/ SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL MOVE TOWARDS SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT AND EASTERLY. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING...BEFORE CLEARING AS THE COLD FRONT BRINGS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NNE BY AROUND 12Z...WITH THE STRONGER SURGE FROM THE ACTUAL BOUNDARY PUSHING THROUGH BY THE MID MORNING. THERE IS SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SPRINKLES OVERNIGHT AND THEN SHOWERS THURSDAY MORNING MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS WHERE SLIGHTLY DEEPER MOISTURE RESIDES. OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WILL BECOME MODERATE...AND SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS WILL BRIEFLY SKIRT WITH SCA VALUES OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS...BUT NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT ANY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S...AND FALLING TOMORROW NIGHT INTO THE 40S ACROSS THE REGION. LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...EXTENDED BEGINS IN A DRY PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION. DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL WIDEN DIURNAL RANGES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LOWS AND ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS. INCREASING MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. UNFAVORABLE LOW LEVEL FLOW AND AN INITIALLY VERY DRY AIRMASS MAY HOLD BACK RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. MODEL DIFFERENCES THEN INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD. GENERAL THEME IS FOR A SHARP MERIDIONAL TROUGH TO SWEEP THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY...DRIVING A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE COASTAL BEND ON TUESDAY. 12Z GFS RUN IS MUCH WETTER THAN EITHER ECM/CMC OR PREVIOUS GFS RUNS AND MUCH MUCH COLDER BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS APPEARS OVERDONE GIVEN EXPECTED THERMAL PROFILES...SO WILL TREND CLOSER TO THE ECM/CMC CONSENSUS FOR THE LATER PERIODS FOR NOW AND MONITOR TRENDS. IF THE GFS ACTUALLY DOES VERIFY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNING COULD BE VERY COLD INDEED...ESPECIALLY FOR THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 54 67 45 68 49 / 10 10 10 10 0 VICTORIA 50 63 41 66 45 / 10 10 10 10 0 LAREDO 55 66 48 71 52 / 10 20 10 10 0 ALICE 53 69 43 70 48 / 10 10 10 10 0 ROCKPORT 54 67 47 63 50 / 10 10 10 10 0 COTULLA 51 64 43 67 47 / 10 10 10 10 0 KINGSVILLE 54 68 46 69 49 / 10 10 10 10 0 NAVY CORPUS 55 65 49 64 51 / 10 10 10 10 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...NONE. && $$ GW/86...AVIATION  FXUS64 KCRP 302046 AFDCRP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX 246 PM CST WED DEC 30 2015 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...ONE OF THESE FORECASTS WHERE THERE COULD BE LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE FROM TIME TO TIME...BUT WHETHER WE MEASURE IS THE BIG QUESTION...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE...WITH NAM SHOWING BETTER UPGLIDE ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST WHILE GFS AND ECMWF ARE WEAK TO NEGLIGIBLE. AM GOING TO LEAN TOWARD THE GFS/ECMWF SOLUTION...AS THERE COULD PATCHY/AREAS OF RAIN OR DRIZZLE FROM TIME TO TIME BUT GETTING MEASURABLE RAINFALL WILL BE TOUGH. MESO-SCALE MODELS (FOR WHAT THEY ARE WORTH CONCERNING UPGLIDE EVENTS...AM NOT SURE HOW THEY ARE) HAVE ONLY BEEN SHOWING VERY LIGHT ECHOES TONIGHT. THUS...WILL ONLY HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL AREAS TONIGHT...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES WEST AND SPRINKLES MENTIONED EVEN FARTHER WEST. THERE IS SOME WEAK UPPER SUPPORT TOO...BUT THERE IS SOME DRIER MID LEVEL AIR WHICH HAS TO MOISTEN UP THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO ALLOW A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN FROM ANY UPPER SUPPORT. THIS WILL HAPPEN BY (HOPEFULLY) THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE POPS INCREASE IN THE FORECAST. TIL THEN...WILL GO MORE WITH LOWER POPS AND BETTER CHANCES NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE. NOT MUCH OF A TEMPERATURE CHANGE TONIGHT FROM THIS MORNING...WITH INLAND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. PERHAPS A TAD COOLER ON THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50S AS THE MID LEVELS MOISTEN UP AND CLOUD DEPTH INCREASES. WILL BITE ON THE GUIDANCE AND GO WITH GOOD CHANCE/LIKELY POPS THURSDAY NIGHT...AS MEAN LEVEL RH FIELDS INCREASE TO EQUAL OR EXCEED 90 PERCENT AND WEAK UPPER SUPPORT CONTINUES. SURGING HIGH PRESSURE ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL INCREASE WINDS AND BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT. WOULD EVEN BE COOLER THURSDAY NIGHT EXCEPT WINDS WILL STAY UP MORE. DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE MUCH IF ANY SUNSHINE/MOON PHASES TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. && .MARINE (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...COULD BE A BRIEF LULL IN THE SCA CONDITIONS OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS...BUT WILL NOT GET TOO CUTE WITH IT AND JUST GO WITH AN SCA FOR THE ENTIRE GULF. WITH WINDS INCREASING LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE SURGE...SCA WILL BE EXTENDED INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...AND WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BEYOND THAT. COULD EVEN HAVE SCA FOR THE BAYS BY THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL WAIT TO SEE WHAT EVOLVES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY (MAINLY SOUTHERN GULF). && .LONG TERM (NEW YEARS DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...EXTENDED OVERRUNNING EVENT WILL BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD WITH PERSISTENT LIGHT TO MODERATE STRATIFORM RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS. CAA ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL FURTHER INHIBIT TEMPERATURES...WITH HIGHS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ONLY IN THE 40S. IN ADDITION...ASSOCIATED WINDS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE ALL BUT GUARANTEED...WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY. CONDITIONS IMPROVE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH A WEAK RIDGE BUILDING...WITH DRIER AIR AND LESS WIND. RETURN FLOW RESUMES MONDAY NIGHT...WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND MORE CHANCES FOR RAIN FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM TOWARD THE END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD...GETTING BACK TO NORMAL JANUARY HIGHS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CORPUS CHRISTI 49 55 47 50 41 / 30 30 60 70 80 VICTORIA 47 55 45 49 40 / 20 20 60 60 60 LAREDO 48 54 46 47 38 / 10 10 50 60 80 ALICE 48 56 46 47 39 / 10 20 60 70 80 ROCKPORT 50 54 48 51 42 / 30 40 60 60 70 COTULLA 46 54 44 46 38 / 10 10 50 70 70 KINGSVILLE 49 56 47 48 41 / 20 30 60 70 80 NAVY CORPUS 51 56 49 50 42 / 30 40 60 70 80 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...NONE. GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM. && $$ GW/86...SHORT TERM JV/71...LONG TERM